HFMarkets (hfm.com): New market analysis services.

[HFM]

Date: 13th August 2025.


Investors Flock to Riskier Assets After Soft US Inflation Data.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


US Dollar Retreats as Markets Price in Fed Rate Cuts


Global investors have moved into higher-risk assets after US inflation data came in softer than expected, easing stagflation fears and pushing the US dollar (USDindex) lower. The USDIndex dropped reflecting expectations of a near-certain 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in September. Some traders are even speculating on a larger reduction as markets reassess monetary policy.





The USDIndex has fallen 0.4% so far today to 97.72, marking its second consecutive day of declines after headline CPI data eased concerns about persistent inflation. Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point cut next month, with some traders even speculating on a larger, 50-basis-point move. The drop in yields and dovish shift in rate expectations have weighed on the greenback, prompting broad gains in other major currencies: EURUSD has risen to 1.1700, GBPUSD is trading at 1.3570, and USDJPY has eased to 147.41. Oil prices corrected as markets focus on the supply outlook, and the front end WTI contract is down -0.8% at USD 62.66 per barrel. Gold benefited from the decline in rates and is trading at $3362.70 per ounce - a gain of 0.4%.


The dollar’s retreat was further reinforced by Tuesday’s broad market optimism. Lower inflation reduced stagflation fears, supporting a shift into riskier assets — from equities to cryptocurrencies — while haven flows into the dollar and gold moderated.


US equity markets are riding a wave of optimism. The S&P 500 has hit fresh record highs, buoyed by resilient corporate earnings and the prospect of looser monetary policy. The index is up almost 30% since April’s trade shock sell-off and 12% since Trump’s election in November. Small-cap stocks, measured by the Russell 2000, are on track for a fourth consecutive month of gains, showing a broad-based recovery beyond large-cap tech.


Tech stocks are leading the charge. The “Magnificent Seven,” including Nvidia and Microsoft, have climbed nearly 50% since April, reversing earlier losses and benefiting from renewed interest in artificial intelligence. Megacap tech alone contributed roughly 90% of S&P 500 profit growth in Q2, according to Deutsche Bank strategists.





Volatility indicators underscore market confidence. The VIX is at its lowest since December, while bond market volatility, measured by the MOVE Index, is at levels not seen since 2022. FX implied volatility is also at a one-year low, highlighting strong investor appetite for risk.


Commodities and Cryptocurrencies Gain Support


The risk-on sentiment has extended to commodities and alternative assets. Gold gained 0.6% to $1,366 per ounce, supported by weaker US dollar and declining bond yields. Silver rose 1.8%, and oil prices corrected slightly after the US API reported higher crude inventories, signaling that the summer demand peak may be fading. Cryptocurrencies have also rebounded, with Ether up 55% over the past month and meme stocks regaining popularity.


Fed Policy and Market Outlook


While markets lean heavily toward near-term easing, the Federal Reserve remains divided. Fed Schmid, a voting member, described policy as “appropriately calibrated” but remains vigilant for signs of weakening demand. Futures markets are pricing in additional rate cuts, while traders await the Jackson Hole symposium for further guidance on monetary policy. Still, futures markets are discounting -23 bps for September, -60 bps by December, and -127 bps in cuts by end-2026.


Political pressure is also intensifying. Meanwhile, President Trump continues to push for immediate rate cuts and criticized Fed Chair Powell, adding a political dimension to market uncertainty. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that the Fed should remain open to a larger cut next month.


Conclusion


The combination of softer US inflation data, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and resilient earnings has fueled a wave of optimism in global markets. Traders are rotating into equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, while the US dollar remains under pressure. While risks from geopolitical tensions and rising yields persist, investor confidence remains high, setting the tone for continued market rallies in the near term. For now the confidence that soft inflation and resilient growth will keep risk appetite alive, at least until the September decision forces the next big rethink.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 11th August 2025.


USDJPY Analysis: Yen Weakens Amid US Tariff Pressure and BOJ Policy Signals.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


The USDJPY currency pair has been in the spotlight after the Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar. This movement was triggered by several key factors that are currently attracting market attention. On Friday, USDJPY strengthened by +0.39%, indicating selling pressure on the Yen. The main concerns driving this weakening are the potential impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy, as well as less than satisfactory domestic economic data.


Factors Driving Yen Weakening


Weaker Japanese Economic Data - Japanese household spending data for June, which only rose +1.3% (y/y), far below market expectations of +2.7%, sent a dovish signal. This figure suggests that Japanese consumers are holding back, likely due to US tariff pressure and rising inflation. This situation reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates soon.


Rising US Bond Yields - Higher US government bond yields on Friday made the US dollar more attractive to investors. This increase negatively impacted the yen, known as a safe-haven currency.


Hawkish Sentiment from BOJ Meeting: Hope Amid Challenges


Nevertheless, there are several signals that could potentially be positive catalysts for the yen in the long term.


Slightly Hawkish BOJ Meeting Minutes - The minutes of the July 30-31 BOJ meeting showed differences of opinion among board members. Some suggested gradual interest rate hikes to anticipate future inflationary pressures. One member even hinted at the possibility of a rate hike as early as late 2025, depending on the impact of US tariffs.


Positive Signals from Economic Surveys - The EcoWatchers Japan Outlook Survey rose to 47.3 in July, reaching a six-month high. This reading was stronger than expected, indicating optimism among economic observers. This positive signal could be a bullish boost for the Yen.


USDJPY Technical Analysis: Towards Key Levels


Technically, the USDJPY is in a corrective phase. The significant rise from the 2021 low (102.58) towards the 2024 high (161.94) is seen as the main trend.



USDJPY


Oil Prices Head for Steepest Weekly Losses Since June


Key Upside Level: If USDJPY manages to break through minor resistance at 148.07, the market will likely retest the high of 150.91, or the 61.8%FR level. A rise above this level would open the opportunity for a continuation of the bullish trend to higher levels.


Key Downside Level: On the other hand, key support is at 145.84. A breach of this level could signal a short-term bearish reversal, with the next support target at 142.66.


For next week, the Yen's movement will likely be influenced by external data given the relatively quiet Japanese economic calendar.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Ady Phangestu
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 8th August 2025.


Global Markets Struggle for Direction Amid Tariffs, Fed Expectations, and Weak Jobs Data.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


Wall Street Ends Mixed as Economic Signals Remain Conflicted


Global markets endured another hesitant session on Thursday, with investors balancing disappointing U.S. labour data, central bank actions, and renewed trade tensions. Last week’s weak jobs report and an increase in unemployment claims reinforced expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve stance in the months ahead.


Bond market sentiment turned bearish after a poor 30-year Treasury auction capped a weak August refunding, while a hawkish interest rate cut from the Bank of England earlier in the day also weighed on confidence. An unexpected rise in U.S. productivity provided only a modest lift. Meanwhile, reciprocal tariffs went into effect at various levels, keeping trade policy firmly in focus.


Apple’s announcement of a significant U.S. manufacturing investment helped Wall Street open with moderate gains, but momentum faded as dip-buying interest cooled. By the close, the NASDAQ finished 0.35% higher—well off session peaks—while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.51% and the S&P 500 slipped 0.08%. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) eased 1.25% to 16.56, and Treasuries ended mixed.


Asian Markets Mixed; Nikkei Nears Record High


In Asia, Friday’s trading was mixed. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.2% to 41,977.65, approaching record highs, after Japan confirmed it had resolved a dispute with Washington over tariffs on Japanese goods. The duties, implemented Thursday, initially exceeded the agreed 15% level, but Japan’s chief trade envoy confirmed the U.S. had agreed to make the necessary adjustment. Automakers were among the top performers, with Toyota Motor Corp. rising 3.9% and Honda Motor Co. gaining 4%.


Elsewhere, sentiment was softer. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declined 0.7% to 24,916.15, the Shanghai Composite Index edged up less than 0.1% to 3,642.10, South Korea’s Kospi lost 0.7% to 3,206.86, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slipped 0.2% to 8,813.70. Taiwan’s Taiex gained 0.2%, while India’s Sensex fell 0.5%. Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management described market momentum as unpredictable, warning that early-week trends can reverse sharply by Friday.


Tech Sector Gains Offset by Intel Troubles


Technology stocks provided the strongest lift in the U.S. session. Apple rose 3.2% after CEO Tim Cook joined President Donald Trump at the White House to announce an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing over the next four years. Semiconductor stocks also advanced after Trump imposed 100% tariffs on imported chips but promised exemptions for companies with substantial U.S. operations. Advanced Micro Devices surged 5.7%, while Nvidia added 0.8%.


Intel, however, fell 3.1% after Trump demanded the immediate resignation of CEO Lip-Bu Tan, accusing him of being “highly conflicted” due to his ties with Chinese firms. Tan responded by confirming that Intel is in active talks with the U.S. administration to address concerns and ensure accurate information is provided, while reaffirming the company’s focus on turning around its struggling operations.





Oil Prices Head for Steepest Weekly Losses Since June


Oil prices were little changed in early Asian trading on Friday but were poised for their sharpest weekly declines since late June. Brent crude futures dipped three cents to $66.40 a barrel at 0050 GMT, on track to fall more than 4% for the week, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude slipped six cents to $63.82, set for a weekly loss of over 5%.


ANZ Bank analysts warned that the latest U.S. tariffs, which came into force Thursday, have raised fears of slower global economic growth and reduced oil demand. Prices were already under pressure after OPEC+ announced last weekend that it would fully unwind its largest tranche of output cuts in September, months ahead of schedule. WTI futures have now fallen for six consecutive sessions, matching a losing streak last seen in December 2023. A decline on Friday would mark the longest streak since August 2021.


Geopolitical Developments Add to Market Uncertainty


The Kremlin confirmed on Thursday that Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in the coming days, fueling speculation of a potential diplomatic breakthrough in the war in Ukraine. The U.S. also imposed new tariffs on India over its purchases of Russian crude oil, though analysts at StoneX noted the measures are unlikely to significantly disrupt Russian oil flows to global markets. Trump also indicated that China, the largest buyer of Russian crude, could face similar tariffs.


Currency Market Moves


In currency trading, the U.S. dollar edged up to 147.16 yen from 147.13, while the euro eased to $1.1660 from $1.1667. With trade disputes intensifying, central banks adjusting policy, and commodity markets under pressure, volatility remains a defining feature of the current global market landscape.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 5th August 2025.


Markets Rebound as Earnings Roll In, Dollar Stabilises Amid Rate Cut Bets and Tariff Concerns.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


US stock futures edged higher on Tuesday, signalling a more stable open on Wall Street following last week’s turbulence and ahead of a crucial wave of corporate earnings. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.3%.


The recovery momentum continued from Monday, when stocks bounced back sharply after a volatile Friday. The rally came despite lingering concerns over a weak US jobs report, fresh tariff threats from the White House, signs of persistent inflation, and the surprise dismissal of the head of the Bureau of Labour Statistics. Adding to the uncertainty, President Trump warned of potential tariff hikes on India, further unsettling global trade dynamics.


Investors now turn their attention to a heavy earnings calendar, with AMD and Rivian reporting Tuesday, followed by McDonald's, Disney, Uber, Snap, Palantir, and others later this week. Palantir shares surged in after-hours trading after the company topped earnings expectations and reported over $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time.


Despite the uncertainty, second-quarter earnings have largely surprised to the upside. According to FactSet, with 66% of S&P 500 companies having reported, average earnings per share are now expected to rise 10.3%, more than double the initial 5% forecast. Companies benefited from lowered expectations amid concerns about tariffs, high valuations, and economic headwinds.


Several notable companies contributed to the rebound. Idexx Laboratories spiked 27.5% on better-than-expected results, while Tyson Foods rose 2.4% after beating profit forecasts. Wayfair gained 12.7% on accelerating growth, and Tesla added 2.2% following the approval of a massive restricted stock award to CEO Elon Musk, calming fears he might exit the company. On the downside, Berkshire Hathaway fell nearly 3% after reporting lower profits tied in part to a loss in its Kraft Heinz investment.


Asian Markets Track US Gains; Oil and Commodities Stable


Asian equities joined the global rally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.6%, South Korea’s Kospi gaining 1.4%, and Shanghai’s Composite Index rising 0.5%. The Hang Seng added 0.3%, while Australia’s ASX 200 and Thailand’s SET both climbed 1.1%. India’s Sensex, however, dropped 0.5% as tensions with the US over Russian oil imports escalated.


Dollar Finds Stability as Fed Cut Expectations Climb


Meanwhile, the US dollar found its footing, rising 0.2% after last week’s sharp selloff triggered by soft jobs data and political upheaval. Traders are now weighing whether the increased likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts could help support risk appetite and offset the drag from new tariffs.


According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets now see a 92.1% chance the Fed will cut rates at its September meeting, up from 63% a week ago. Goldman Sachs expects three straight 25-basis-point cuts starting next month, and sees a 50-basis-point move as possible if unemployment rises further. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly echoed the growing urgency, stating, ‘I was willing to wait another cycle, but I can't wait forever.’


Despite July marking the dollar’s first monthly gain this year, analysts remain cautious. Citi economists noted that USD/Asia is sitting in a ‘fragile equilibrium’ amid uncertainty about US economic resilience. Conversations with clients, they said, reveal many are questioning whether the narrative of US exceptionalism still holds true.


The dollar index hovered around 98.816, recovering from a one-week low. The euro traded at $1.1559, down 0.12%, while sterling stood at $1.328. The yen was flat at 147.10 after the Bank of Japan signalled a potential return to rate hikes if global trade tensions ease. The Swiss franc extended losses, down 0.2% to 0.8092, as Switzerland seeks to negotiate a deal to avoid a 39% US tariff that could severely hit its export-heavy economy.


A quick adjustment in supply chains is widely expected, but it might take 6 to 12 months to know who wins and who loses. Also, the ongoing weakness for the greenback could continue.


Other currencies saw minor moves:


* The Australian dollar eased 0.1% to $0.6466
* The New Zealand dollar slipped 0.1% to $0.5893


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 1st August 2025.


Bank of England Rate Cut in Focus: Sterling Slips as Fed Holds Steady.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


BOJ Moves Closer to Tightening, But Timing Still Murky


The Bank of England (BoE) is widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting on August 7, bringing the Bank Rate down from 4.25% to 4.00%. This decision would mark a continuation of the central bank’s cautious and gradual monetary easing cycle as the UK grapples with persistent inflation and sluggish economic growth.


Although some Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members had already called for a cut during the last meeting, the majority opted to wait, citing the need for a more measured approach. However, with inflation moderating and economic headwinds building, the conditions now appear more favourable for a rate reduction.


BoE Monetary Policy Outlook: Gradual Easing Ahead


BoE Governor Andrew Bailey is expected to reinforce the central bank’s steady approach to rate adjustments. So far in 2025, the BoE has acted every three months, a pattern likely to continue through the end of the year.


Despite projections that headline inflation will rise to 3.7% by September, mainly due to energy base effects and regulated prices, the Bank anticipates that consumer price inflation (CPI) will fall back toward the 2% target in the medium term. A sluggish UK growth backdrop supports further easing, with an additional cut forecast in November 2025, and a terminal rate of 3.50% expected by February 2026.


Still, uncertainties remain. The inflation and rate path will depend heavily on global economic developments, fiscal policy, and evolving UK–US trade dynamics.


UK–US Trade Deal and Updated Growth Projections


The upcoming BoE meeting will also include an updated Monetary Policy Report and revised economic forecasts. Investors will watch closely for how the UK’s new trade agreement with the United States affects the central bank’s growth outlook.


While the impact of the 10% baseline tariffs may be limited in isolation, broader effects on global supply chains could influence inflation. Some economists argue that tariffs may reduce inflation if exporters cut prices to redirect goods away from the US, but significant supply chain disruptions could have the opposite effect.


UK PMI Weakness Reflects Fragile Economic Sentiment


Recent economic data points to weak momentum in the UK economy. The S&P Global flash PMI for July showed a drop in the Composite Output Index to 51.0, a two-month low. Although the manufacturing sector improved slightly, it remained in contraction territory, while the services PMI fell from 52.8 in June to 51.2, still in expansion, but signalling a slowdown.


This decline in business activity suggests that growth is likely to remain soft, with businesses citing reduced new work and persistent caution following the fiscal tightening introduced in April.


Labour Market and Wage Trends in the Spotlight


The UK labour market remains a key variable for the BoE. Survey data from the services sector highlighted strong wage inflation, with businesses attempting to pass on the cost of increased National Insurance contributions and the higher minimum wage. These cost pressures have kept consumer prices elevated, even as demand cools.


At the same time, businesses have started to shed staff, indicating that labour market slack may be building faster than previously anticipated. If this trend continues, it could help curb wage growth, offering additional disinflationary pressure.


Household Savings Surge Underscores Consumer Caution


Another factor reinforcing the case for further easing is the increase in household savings. Data from June revealed a sharp rise in deposits with banks and building societies, which climbed by £7.8 billion, compared to £4.3 billion in May, and significantly above the six-month average.


Much of this increase was allocated to Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs), possibly due to concerns about potential changes in government policy on deposit allowances. The shift toward saving rather than spending suggests that consumers remain cautious, posing a risk to domestic demand and justifying further monetary stimulus.


BoE Quantitative Tightening Policy Under Scrutiny


In addition to interest rate decisions, the BoE's approach to quantitative tightening (QT) remains in focus. Unlike its global peers, the BoE has been actively selling assets in the open market, contributing to a rise in long-term yields and increasing government borrowing costs.


While some policymakers have pushed for an end to active QT, most analysts expect the BoE to reduce the annual pace of asset sales from £100 billion to £75 billion in 2026. There are signs of tightening liquidity as well, with usage of the BoE’s long-term repo facility nearing record highs. The Bank’s new framework, which allows markets to bid for reserves, has created more uncertainty around reserve scarcity as the balance sheet contracts.


Although no major announcement is expected on QT during the August meeting, Governor Bailey may offer early signals ahead of the final decision in September.





GBPUSD Slips Amid Fed Hold and Strong US Data


The British Pound weakened against the US Dollar on Thursday, as GBPUSD fell to 1.3214, down from an intraday high of 1.3281. This move followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, with two dissenters favouring a cut. Despite speculation surrounding future easing, fueled in part by former President Trump’s comments, Fed Chair Jerome Powell provided no clear forward guidance, stating that decisions will be taken meeting-by-meeting.


The US Dollar gained further support from strong economic data. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 218,000, lower than the 224,000 estimate, confirming continued strength in the labour market. Inflation data also surprised to the upside, with Core PCE rising to 2.8% YoY in June and Headline PCE climbing to 2.6%, both above forecasts.


This divergence in monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England has placed additional downward pressure on GBPUSD. While markets see a 65% chance of the Fed holding steady in September, expectations for a BoE cut next week stand at 80%. The growing gap in policy stance has tilted the currency pair into bearish territory.


GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Bearish Bias Builds


Technically, GBPUSD has broken below its 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.3334, breaching key psychological support at 1.3300. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also shifted into bearish territory, reinforcing downside momentum.


If the pair falls decisively below 1.3200, the next support level is found at 1.3100, with the 200-day SMA at 1.2977 offering further downside targets. On the upside, only a close above 1.3250 would signal a potential recovery toward the 1.3300 zone.


Conclusion: All Eyes on August 7 BoE Meeting


As the Bank of England prepares to cut rates, the combination of softening growth, persistent cost pressures, and cautious consumers strengthens the case for further easing. At the same time, the Fed’s steady stance, backed by robust US data, continues to drive GBPUSD lower as monetary policy divergence takes centre stage.


Markets will closely monitor the BoE’s tone, the updated forecasts, and any hints regarding quantitative tightening adjustments. With volatility likely to remain high, traders should remain alert to shifts in inflation expectations, labour market dynamics, and central bank messaging.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 31st July 2025.


BOJ Hints at Rate Hike with Inflation Upgrade, But Trump Tariffs Delay Clear Signal.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


BOJ Moves Closer to Tightening, But Timing Still Murky


The Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept interest rates steady at 0.5% during its July policy meeting but raised its inflation forecasts more than expected, signalling that the era of ultra-accommodative monetary policy may be drawing to a close.


However, Governor Kazuo Ueda and the policy board refrained from giving any guidance on the timing of the next hike, citing ‘high uncertainties’ stemming from new US trade tariffs and domestic political instability.


Inflation Forecast Raised to 2.7%: What It Means


In its quarterly economic outlook, the BOJ lifted its FY2025 inflation forecast to 2.7% from 2.2% and nudged up its projections for 2026 and 2027. The upgrades reflect ongoing price pressures, particularly from food and commodity imports. The BOJ’s upward revision of its price outlook does make it seem like a rate hike is coming closer. But Ueda reiterated that supply-side factors are driving inflation, suggesting policymakers are reluctant to respond with rate hikes unless wage growth and demand-driven inflation strengthen further.


Tariffs Keep Policy Outlook Cautious


A major source of uncertainty is President Trump’s new wave of tariffs, including on Japanese autos and industrial goods. While Japan reached a partial agreement with the US to reduce some levies, the BOJ is waiting to see how these measures affect exports, corporate profits, and investment.


This caution was reflected in a softened tone in the BOJ’s risk assessment, shifting from ‘extremely high’ to simply ‘high’ trade-related uncertainties.


‘There have been positive developments in trade and other policies,’ the BOJ noted, but added that more data is needed to support a rate hike.


Political Backdrop: Another Obstacle


Japan’s domestic political scene is adding further complexity. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s coalition suffered a significant setback in the recent upper house elections. Some members of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party are now pushing for leadership changes, which could impact fiscal policy and BOJ coordination.


Any rate move could become politically sensitive, especially if borrowing costs rise at a time when consumer inflation is already weighing on household budgets.





Market Reaction: Yen, Bonds, and Global Spillovers


The yen initially rallied following the announcement, but lost ground as Ueda failed to provide forward guidance on rates. USDJPY remains near the psychologically important 150 level.


Meanwhile, Japanese government bond yields have inched higher, with the 10-year yield approaching 1%, spilling over into global bond markets. US Treasuries also saw upward pressure after Powell’s hawkish tone, tightening financial conditions worldwide.


What’s Next? Eyes on December


While the BOJ appears to be preparing the ground for a year-end rate hike, the central bank is signalling that it will not move prematurely. The next few months will be critical as officials monitor wage growth, trade developments, and domestic demand. It is expected that the BOJ will act by December if growth holds up and the tariff impact is manageable.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 30th July 2025.


Global Markets Mixed as US-China Trade Talks Stall, Fed Holds Rates, and Euro Retreats.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


US-China Trade Tensions Weigh on Investor Sentiment


Financial markets opened the midweek session on a cautious note as the latest round of US-China trade talks concluded in Stockholm without a definitive agreement. Both countries indicated willingness to extend the current tariff truce set to expire on August 12, but no final decision has been reached.


China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng described the discussions as “constructive,” noting that both sides agreed to continue working toward an extension. Meanwhile, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer confirmed the topic was discussed but emphasised that any extension still requires approval from President Donald Trump. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that although the dialogue was ‘fulsome,’ the Chinese may have ‘jumped the gun’ in announcing a pause. Strategic concerns such as China’s purchase of Iranian oil and export of dual-use technology to Russia were also raised.


Asian and US Markets React to Trade and Earnings Headwinds


Asian equities responded with mixed movements. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 1.2%, while the Shanghai Composite gained 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined marginally as losses in automakers like Toyota and Honda offset gains in tech stocks. Meanwhile, Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea’s Kospi posted solid gains, while Taiwan’s Taiex and India’s Sensex advanced modestly.


On Wall Street, US stock indices edged lower as traders digested corporate earnings and growing global uncertainty. The S&P 500 fell 0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.4%. High-profile movers included SoFi Technologies, which surged 7.4%, and UPS, which plunged 9.2% on weaker-than-expected results. Health care giant UnitedHealth Group dropped 5.8% after disappointing earnings, while Novo Nordisk shed over 21% on lowered 2025 guidance for its Wegovy weight-loss drug.


Federal Reserve Maintains Rates Amid Inflation and Tariff Uncertainty


The Federal Reserve began its much-anticipated policy meeting with expectations firmly anchored in a decision to keep interest rates steady. Despite renewed pressure from President Trump for cuts to stimulate the economy, policymakers are expected to wait for further data on inflation and the economic impact of tariffs.


Treasury yields slipped as investors adopted a risk-off approach. A report showing a decline in US job openings added to concerns over a potential economic slowdown, though consumer confidence data remained relatively stable. Traders now await official signals from the Fed’s statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s comments.


Euro Rally Stalls After EU-US Tariff Deal


The euro, once one of the strongest-performing currencies of 2025, has started to lose momentum. After hitting a four-year high of $1.1830, it fell sharply this week following the EU's decision to impose a 15% tariff on US imports. Though less severe than President Trump’s initial threats, the new rate is a sharp increase from pre-2025 levels.


Currently trading around $1.1554, the euro is on track for its first monthly loss this year, down nearly 2% in July. Analysts note that the rally had been driven by optimism over German fiscal stimulus and weakness in the US dollar. However, with a US-EU trade agreement reducing uncertainty and strong US earnings supporting the greenback, that trend has reversed.


Bruno Schneller of Erlen Capital Management commented that the euro is facing a “reality check,” as speculative positions near record highs are now being unwound. CFTC data shows euro bullish bets have reached $18.4 billion, the highest since December 2023.





Commodities: Copper and Oil Slide as China Stimulus Lacks Detail


Commodities markets were also under pressure. Copper prices dropped 0.2% to $9,782 per ton on the London Metal Exchange, while iron ore declined by 0.9% in Singapore. Early gains were erased after a policy update from China’s Politburo failed to provide clear fiscal or monetary stimulus plans, disappointing traders who had anticipated stronger support.


The global copper market has also been rattled by the Trump administration’s plan to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports starting August 1. With few details available, investors are bracing for widespread disruptions. Chile, the largest supplier of copper to the US, has requested exemptions, but US trade officials signalled that the measures would apply globally.


Meanwhile, oil prices remained relatively flat. US crude hovered at $69.20 per barrel, while Brent crude edged up to $71.70. The broader energy market remains range-bound as traders await further developments in both monetary policy and international trade.


Economic Data and Earnings to Drive Market Direction


With the Fed expected to keep rates on hold, attention is shifting to upcoming economic reports and earnings data. The US is scheduled to release the latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, along with inflation readings that will offer deeper insight into the strength of the recovery. In Europe, economic growth figures will help shape expectations for further fiscal intervention.


Investors are also awaiting any update on whether the US and China will officially extend their tariff truce, a development that could ease trade tensions and support global risk sentiment.


What Traders Should Watch This Week


As market volatility picks up, traders should monitor several key themes:


* The Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Powell’s press conference
* US jobs and inflation data
* Confirmation or collapse of the US-China tariff pause
* More Q2 earnings reports from major US corporations
* Reactions to the EU-US trade agreement
* Signals of additional stimulus from China


With global macro conditions in flux and central bank policies on pause, the coming days could define the next phase of market momentum in stocks, commodities, and currencies.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 29th July 2025.


All Eyes on the US: FOMC, Jobs Report, Earnings and Treasury Supply Dominate a Pivotal Week.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


It’s shaping up to be one of the busiest weeks of the year for US markets, with virtually every major catalyst on the docket. From the FOMC decision and the July employment report to Treasury borrowing forecasts, corporate earnings, and key economic data releases, traders face a flood of information that could significantly sway bonds, equities, and the US dollar.


Yet, with so many variables in play, clarity may remain elusive. The overlapping crosscurrents could result in choppy and indecisive trading as investors attempt to digest the implications for monetary policy, growth, and inflation expectations heading into the final months of 2025.


Fed Expected to Hold Steady, But Watch for Dissent


The Federal Open Market Committee meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and the consensus is firmly aligned around a pause in interest rates. Policymakers have consistently characterised the US economy as resilient and the labour market as solid—two factors that continue to justify patience on rate adjustments.


However, inflation has cooled further in recent months, and concerns over slowing global demand and one-time tariff impacts have emboldened some officials. Notably, Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman have expressed dovish leanings, calling for a rate cut at this meeting—a position that puts them at odds with the broader committee.


While FOMC dissents from governors are rare, both Waller and Bowman have already defied consensus in recent decisions. Waller previously opposed the decision to slow quantitative tightening, and Bowman dissented in September 2024, favouring a smaller 25 bp cut instead of the 50 bp move that was implemented. If both break ranks again this week, it would mark the first dual governor dissent since 1993, underscoring the growing debate within the Fed.


Chair Powell’s press conference on Wednesday will be closely watched for signals on whether the central bank is preparing to shift its tone ahead of the next meeting in September. Markets are already pricing in a near 50/50 chance of a rate cut that month.


July Jobs Report in Focus as Labour Market Remains Resilient


The July nonfarm payrolls report, due Friday, will be a crucial input into the Fed’s September decision. Expectations point to a 120,000 job increase, a modest gain compared to previous months but still indicative of a labour market that is not deteriorating rapidly.


Private payrolls are projected to rise by 100,000 after a 74,000 gain in June, while factory jobs are expected to hold flat following a 7,000 loss. The unemployment rate is forecast to tick up to 4.2% from 4.1%, as the labour market adjusts to sector-specific layoffs and restructuring—particularly from companies undergoing so-called DOGE cuts, where severance packages have delayed the appearance of actual unemployment.


Wage growth is likely to continue at a moderate pace. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise 0.3% month-over-month, with the annual rate ticking up slightly to 3.8% from 3.7%. The average workweek is expected to remain at 34.2 hours for a second straight month.


With another jobs report due before the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, the Fed will be watching closely to determine whether inflation remains subdued and whether labour market softness justifies a preemptive rate cut to stay ahead of a potential economic slowdown.


Markets Price in Fall Rate Cuts


Despite the expected hold this week, Fed funds futures are leaning toward a September rate cut. The October contract implies roughly 27 basis points of easing, while the December contract reflects nearly 44 bps in total cuts by year-end.


That positioning underscores investor sensitivity to Powell’s tone on Wednesday. Any signs of softening—whether in the statement, the vote tally, or during the press conference—could fuel expectations for more aggressive easing later this year.


Although the Fed has been cautious not to overcommit, the combination of slowing inflation, moderating wage growth, and global uncertainties is making the case for flexibility stronger. Powell may not open the door wide to cuts just yet, but even a small rhetorical shift could move markets.


Other Key Catalysts: GDP, ISM, PCE, and Big Tech Earnings


In addition to the Fed and labour market data, traders must also navigate a wave of critical releases. The second-quarter Advance GDP print, Employment Cost Index (ECI), PCE chain prices, and the ISM manufacturing report all offer insight into the strength of the US economy and inflation dynamics.


Meanwhile, the Treasury Department is set to release Q3 and Q4 borrowing estimates, as well as details of the August refunding schedule—an event that could influence bond yields and market liquidity.


On the corporate front, earnings season continues in full swing, with Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft among the headline names reporting this week. The results from Big Tech could add volatility, especially if they reveal caution on consumer trends or AI-related capex.


Conclusion: A Pivotal Week for the Fed and Financial Markets


With the FOMC meeting, labour data, inflation indicators, Treasury supply, and earnings all on the calendar, this week could shape market direction for weeks to come. The Fed is expected to hold, but the potential for rare dovish dissents adds an element of intrigue.


As the data rolls, and Powell addresses the press, traders will be seeking any clue on whether a September rate cut is truly on the table. Until then, expect volatility, uncertainty, and plenty of positioning as markets attempt to digest a whirlwind of economic signals.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Andria Pichidi
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 25th July 2025.


Euro Strength Persists Amid ECB’s Temporary Policy Pause.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


The best-performing currency of 2025 is the Euro and continues to gain after the European Central Bank’s rate decision. After the ECB’s rate decision and press conference, the currency rose in value against all currencies. This also includes the Australian Dollar, which has seen the strongest gains this week so far. Why is the Euro witnessing strong gains despite multiple rate cuts, and what has the ECB said about the Euro’s strength?


The Euro's Gains In 2025


The best-performing currencies in 2025 have been the Euro and Swiss Franc, which have both seen multiple rate cuts. Traditionally, currencies witnessing a dovish monetary policy tend to experience a weakening currency. So what is different here?


The main reasons for the bullish price movement fall into three categories:


* European Fiscal Policy
* Portfolio Flow and Euro Hedges
* US Dollar Weakness


These three factors are overpowering the negative impact of the lower interest rates. The European Union in 2025 has changed its fiscal policy rules related to borrowing and stimulus programs related to defence spending. Most investors deem this as a turn towards a fiscal expansionary policy while not triggering budget deficit concerns. One of the stimulus fund programs which are in the spotlight is the $500 billion German Fund, which aims to boost infrastructure and defence.


In addition to this, global investors are looking to spread the risk of overexposure to US equities. As a result, the natural alternatives are European stocks such as the DAX, Euro Stoxx 50 and CAC. As interest in these stocks grows, demand for the euro increases as well. Furthermore, companies still investing in US indices are now using the Euro to hedge against the risks of a weakening Dollar, which could result in gains from the original investment. Previously, due to Dollar's strength, this was not practised with US Equity Investments.


European Equity demand and euro-hedge positions are also increasing the demand for the Euro, and this also ties in with a weaker US Dollar. The US Dollar is currently the weakest currency of 2025, declining more than 9.50%. The main concern for investors is the trade policy uncertainty and the worsening US fiscal deficit. Investors are turning to the Euro as an alternative.


The Euro Central Bank’s Rate Decision and Press Conference


As European inflation is under control, the European Central Bank is likely to continue cutting interest rates in 2025. The main reason for the pause is uncertainty before the trade negotiations deadline on August 1st. Due to this, the ECB opted to keep the Main Refinancing Rate at 2.15%.


President Lagarde noted that although inflation expectations are ‘firmly anchored’ near 2%, there are risks in both directions. Investors also note that the ECB President voiced concern over the risk of the Euro becoming too expensive and its domino effect on the economy. Many experts believe this also indicates the ECB would like to cut by at least a further two occasions.


EURNZD - Technical Analysis and Major Gains



EURNZD 4-Hour Chart


The Euro is witnessing its strongest gains against the New Zealand Dollar. The EURNZD fell to a key support level and also formed a double bottom. As a result, the Euro quickly gained bullish momentum and continued to rise on Friday.


The price of the EURNZD is trading above the 75-bar EMA and in the ‘buy’ zone of most oscillators. In addition to this, the exchange has been forming higher highs and lows on smaller timeframes. Moreover, the exchange rate remains below the major resistance levels while maintaining momentum. Resistance levels can currently be seen at 1.95830 and 1.96475.


Key Takeaway Levels:


* The Euro is 2025's top-performing currency, gaining despite multiple ECB rate cuts.
* Strong European fiscal policy and stimulus programs are boosting investor confidence in the Euro.
* Investors are shifting to European equities and using the Euro to hedge against a weakening US Dollar.
* The ECB held rates at 2.15% but signalled more interest rate cuts in 2025.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Michalis Efthymiou
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

[HFM]

Date: 24th July 2025.


SNP500 Hits New Highs Backed by Strong Earnings and Trade Optimism.



Trading Leveraged products is Risky


The SNP500 again renews its all-time highs after finding support from Alphabet stocks, NVIDIA, JP Morgan and Broadcom. The SNP500 is now trading 8.40% higher in 2025, more or less matching the performance of the NASDAQ. The main driver of the current upward trend is recent quarterly earnings reports and the US-Japan trade deal.


Alphabet Quarterly Earnings Report


There were both positive and negative data from Alphabet’s earnings report, but the stock rose 1.72% after market close. The quarterly report showed the company’s revenue and operating income rose 14%, cloud revenue 32% and the earnings per share rose 22% to $2.31. The figures continue to beat projections, which is one of the reasons why the stock has risen 1.72% and more than 14% over the past month.


Google Cloud revenue rose 32% to $13.6 billion, driven by strong growth in core GCP products, AI infrastructure, and generative AI solutions. AI remains a key driver, with Alphabet’s Gemini model now integrated across its cloud services and productivity tools. Although still behind OpenAI’s ChatGPT in user adoption, Gemini is helping Alphabet attract more enterprise clients.


In addition to this, the search figures also remain steady and within the projected range. According to the report, Google searches make up approximately 90% of the global searches. However, one of the main negatives from the report is AI spending compared to ROI (return on investment).


Alphabet reported $22.4 billion in capital spending, well above the $18.2 billion expected. It also raised its 2025 capex forecast from $75 billion to $85 billion, highlighting its aggressive investment in data centres, AI chips, and infrastructure. If the return on investment from AI products read higher, experts believe the stock increase would have been higher than the current rise. Nonetheless, the increase continues to support the NASDAQ.


SNP500 Components and Stocks


Of the SNP500’s most influential 15 stocks, 74% rose in value on Wednesday. In addition to this, the VIX index continues to decline, as does the Put and Call Ratio. All these factors provide strong buy signals for the SNP500 and stocks in general. The main stocks, bar Alphabet stocks, which are supporting the recent upward price movements, are NVIDIA, Broadcom and JP Morgan.


NVIDIA is the most influential stock for the SNP500, holding a weight of more than 7.00%. NVIDIA stocks rose 2.25% on Wednesday and a further 1.20% after market close. Broadcom stocks, which hold a weight of 2.33%, are one of the best-performing stocks on Thursday.


Both the technology sector and banking stocks continue to perform well while defensive stocks underperform due to the ‘risk-on’ appetite of the market. The higher investor sentiment is mainly being prompted by the US-Japan trade deal.


SNP500 Technical Analysis



SNP500 5-Minute Chart


The SNP500 continues to form higher highs and higher lows, ensuring the wave ensuing continues to point to an upward trend. The price also remains above the trend-line, the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average and in the ‘buy’ zone of most oscillators. However, the price is trading below the day’s VWAP, and order flow currently points towards limited buy demand.


For this reason, the outlook for the SNP500 remains bullish, but bullish momentum needs to be regained. European PMI reports from earlier this morning read positively, if the global PMI data continues to beat expectations, bullish momentum may gain speed. The price is also close to the 200-bar EMA, which can act as a support level. Traders will monitor if the price bounces off this level.


Key Takeaway Levels:


* The SNP500 hits new all-time highs, driven by Alphabet, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and JP Morgan.
* Alphabet’s earnings beat forecasts, with strong cloud growth and steady search performance boosting investor confidence.
* Capital spending rose to $22.4B, with AI investments raising concerns over return on investment.
* Technical Analysis remain bullish, but momentum needs to recover; global PMI data could reignite buying pressure.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


Click HERE to READ more Market news.


Michalis Efthymiou
HFMarkets


Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.