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    Thread: Cryptocurrency Analysis

    1. #384 Collapse post
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      Technical Analysis on BTC/USD for 05 February 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      A new Minecraft server called SatoshiQuest has been launched, which provides an online treasure hunt, rewarding the winner with real Bitcoins.

      Each player has a unique game wallet address associated with his Minecraft user ID. To start the game, the player must pay 1 dollar in Bitcoin, which will allow him to search for bitcoin treasure. The pool of all payments is collected in the winner's prize fund and is refreshed every 15 minutes. When the treasure is found, 85% of the pot goes to the winner's account, 10% is paid to the developers, and the remaining 5% remains in the pot until the next game. Finding a treasure means resetting the game.

      Active players search Minecraft's vast landscapes for hidden treasure. When a player approaches a treasure, its location is transmitted to other players - it gives them a chance to reach the treasure first and is supposed to stop players camping on the looted site. Although you can hope that there are enough places to get loot to make this tactic unprofitable.

      One of the things that may discourage potential players is that any entry fee paid by the player will also require a transaction fee. Although it is currently in the range of $ 0.25-0.30, any increase in the price of Bitcoin is likely to cause the fees to rise again.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The BTC/USD pair has hit the 38% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of $9,019 during the corrective cycle and bounced towards the nearest technical resistance seen at the level of $9,230. The bulls might be still in control of the market, but the counter-trend correction down might resume any time now. Please notice the momentum is clearly decreasing as well, which supports the near-term bearish outlook.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $10,823
      WR2 - $10,138
      WR1 - $9,838

      Weekly Pivot - $9,130
      WS1 - $8,807
      WS2 - $8,069
      WS3 - $7,777


      Trading Recommendations:
      The market might have made the first impulsive wave up of a higher degree. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $7,582 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $10,278 is clearly broken.

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    2. #383 Collapse post
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      BTC analysis for 02.04.2020 - Broken mini PItchfork channel and support trendline, potential for drop towards $8.250

      Industry news:
      Fourteen of Japan's biggest banks and securities companies will begin running a pilot for a blockchain-powered inheritance platform. The pilot, which is being spearheaded by the Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, will begin in mid-February. If successful, financial institutions in the country could aim to roll the solution out before the end of 2020.

      Per Nikkei, the Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank has been joined on the project by another Sumitomo Group banking subsidiary, as well as banking arms of financial heavy-hitters such as Mitsubishi UFJ, Mizuho and Nomura Securities.


      Technical analysis:
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      BTC has been trading downwards as I expected yesterday. The price tested the level of $9.500. The multiply rejections of the median Pitchfork line and the most recent breakout of support trendline were the key for downside pressure.

      Watch for selling opportunities and potential tests of $8.870 and $8.240.

      MACD oscillator is showing negative reading below the zero and the slow line is turned to the downside, which adds confirmation for further downside.

      Major resistance is set at the price of $9.600 and intraday at $9.200.

      Support levels are seen at the price of $8.871and $8.240.




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    3. #382 Collapse post
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      Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 04 February 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      The Japanese social network Line, the largest in the country, announced the introduction of the digital currency "Link" on the Japanese market planned for April. The token was previously available in all countries except Japan and the United States.

      Line first used Blockchain in early 2018 when it announced plans to launch the cryptocurrency exchange in its Chat application.

      After long negotiations with Japanese regulators, Line launched the Bitbox stock exchange in July 2018, but outside of its application, excluding Japanese and American users. In October 2018, Line launched the Link cryptocurrency and put it on Bitbox along with the initial trading pairs with Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tether. However, the token was still not available on the Japanese domestic market, which Line initially intended to operate.

      Since its international premiere, LVC - a subsidiary of Line operating in the field of digital currency and Blockchain - has prepared itself to introduce coins to the Japanese market. It was associated with cooperation with the Japan Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA), which has a preparation process for introducing new digital currencies.

      LVC is currently preparing the system for Link's Japanese debut, the exact date of which will be announced in due time. Placing Link on the Bitmax cryptocurrency exchange is also planned, although details are still being finalized.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The ETH/USD pair has been trading around the recent high made at the level of $193.52 at the top of the ascending channel upper line, but recently the bears have managed to push it a little lower towards the level of $185.37 which is technical support for the price close to the lower channel line. The momentum has decreased already, so the odds for the move lower are high now. Any violation of the level of $185.37 will open the road towards the next target for bears located at the level of $178.25- $176.95.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $231.75
      WR2 - $211.10
      WR1 - $202.50

      Weekly Pivot - $183.58
      WS1 - $174.98
      WS2 - $155.68
      WS3 - $147.65


      Trading Recommendations:
      There is a possibility that the wave 2 corrective cycles are completed at the level of $115.05, so the market might be ready for another impulsive wave up of a higher degree and uptrend continuation. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $146.94 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $196.61 is clearly broken.

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    4. #381 Collapse post
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      Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for 04 February 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      Kraken Security Labs has revealed that Trezor's hardware wallets and derivatives can be hacked to extract private keys. Although the procedure is quite complicated, Kraken claims that "requires only 15 minutes of physical access to the device."

      The attack requires physical intervention in Trezor's wallet by pulling out its layout and placing on a special device or soldering several critical connectors.

      The Trezor system must then be connected to a "glitcher device" that would send signals at specific times. They break the built-in protection, which prevents the system memory from being read by external devices.

      This trick allows the attacker to read the contents of the wallet, including the private key grain. Although the seed is encrypted with a key generated by the PIN, researchers were able to force the combination in just two minutes.

      The vulnerability results from specific equipment used by Trezor, which means that the company cannot easily repair it. You will need to completely redesign the portfolio and roll back all existing models.

      In the meantime, Kraken urged Trezor and KeepKey users not to allow anyone physical access to their wallet.

      In a coordinated response published by Trezor, the team minimized the impact of this vulnerability. The company argued that the attack would show visible signs of tampering due to the need to open the device while noting that extremely specialized equipment was required.

      Finally, the team suggested that users activate the wallet password function to protect themselves against such attacks. The password is never stored on the device because it is added to the seeds to generate a private key on the fly. Kraken also noted that this was a viable alternative, although researchers described it as "somewhat clumsy to use."

      This feature also imposes significant responsibility on the user. The password must be complex enough so that it cannot be easily deciphered and forgetting it will completely block users' money.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The BTC/USD pair has made a possible Double Top price pattern at the level of $9,539, but is still trading inside of a consolidation zone. This behavior might indicate a counter-trend correction on the horizon and the termination of the five-wave impulsive pattern supports this view. In this case, the nearest technical supports for the bulls are seen at the levels of $9,130, $8,836 and $8,694. Please notice the momentum is clearly decreasing as well, which supports the near-term bearish outlook.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $10,823
      WR2 - $10,138
      WR1 - $9,838

      Weekly Pivot - $9,130
      WS1 - $8,807
      WS2 - $8,069
      WS3 - $7,777


      Trading Recommendations:
      The market might have made the first impulsive wave up of a higher degree. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $7,582 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $10,278 is clearly broken.

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    6. #380 Collapse post
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      BTC analysis for 02.03.2020 - Watch for potential downside on the BTC due to overbought condition and rejection of the median line

      Industry news:
      Bitcoin Futures are once again in the limelight after Open Interest was found to have surged by over 60% since the beginning of the new year. According to the data provider, Skew markets, Bitcoin Futures reflected rising Open Interest among exchanges and stood at $4 billion.

      The aggregated Open Interest was the least on Bakkt – $4.6 million, at the beginning of 2020. However, this changed as the year progressed and on 2 February 2020, it stood at $11 million. A similar trend of rising Futures contract was noted on other exchanges like CME, BitMEX, OKEx, Deribit, and CME as well.


      Technical analysis:
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      BTC has been trading downwards as I expected last Friday. Another stronger rejection of the Pitchfork median line was the key for the recent downside movement together with the lack of demand around $9.600.

      Watch for selling opportunities and potential rotation down towards the $8.972 and $8.792.

      MACD oscillator is showing decreasing on the buying power, which adds confirmation for further downside.

      Major resistance is set at the price of $9.600

      Support levels are seen at the price of $9.000 and $8.700.



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    9. #378 Collapse post
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      Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 03 February 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      The ETHDenver event in the US next month is attracting the attention of several major sponsors. BP joined the list. Ethereum prices are rising, exceeding the $ 180 threshold for the first time in ten weeks.

      The ETHDenver event, scheduled for February 14-16, has strengthened itself as one of the largest Ethereum meetings this year. Information about the new sponsor appeared on the official ETHDenver Tweeter.

      The three-day event offers a wide range of activities, including talks and workshops led by the best influential encryption and blockchain providers as well as experts. Some of the important speakers this year are Vitalik Buterin, founder of ConsenSys Joseph Lubin, founder of Shapeshift Eric Voorhees, researcher of the Ethereum Foundation Vlad Zamfir and a long list of CEOs and Blockchain experts.

      The entire event is funded by sponsors and usually includes cryptographic exchanges, Blockchain and fintech companies. This year, however, the global giant BP joined this list.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The ETH/USD pair did not make any violate moves during the weekend. Instead, the market has been trading around the recent high made at the level of $193.52 at the top of the ascending channel upper line. The nearest technical support for the bulls is seen at the level of $185.37 and the next target is located at the level of $200.00. The momentum remains strong and positive despite the overbought market conditions at the H4 timeframe, so the odds for another wave up are still high.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $231.75
      WR2 - $211.10
      WR1 - $202.50

      Weekly Pivot - $183.58
      WS1 - $174.98
      WS2 - $155.68
      WS3 - $147.65


      Trading Recommendations:
      There is a possibility that the wave 2 corrective cycles are completed at the level of $115.05, so the market might be ready for another impulsive wave up of a higher degree and uptrend continuation. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $146.94 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $196.61 is clearly broken.

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    10. #377 Collapse post
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      Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for 03 February 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      Investigators from France, Belgium and Israel have worked out a scam that has extorted EUR 6 million from French and Belgian citizens, read Europol's press release. The scammers promised a significant return on investment, which seems to be a Ponzi scheme.

      An international network of cheaters was allegedly led by a Franco-Israeli citizen. In 2019, the authorities arrested nine suspects related to fraud. The investigation began in 2018 and was coordinated by Europol and Eurojust.

      Criminals reportedly created a system that promised large returns on investment in Bitcoins, diamonds and gold, and offered their services on undisclosed online platforms.

      The scam has significant Ponzi scheme characters. The organizers promised a return of 5 to 35 percent, then pretended to manage user portfolios and invited them to invest more money. Some victims have actually received interest to increase their confidence in the platform.

      Organizations were also targeted - the victims of the fraud were, among others, a large French private company. The fraudsters managed to collect at least EUR 6 million, and unpaid invoices amounted to several million more. The authorities managed to recover over a million euros, while the rest were allegedly moved outside the European Union.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The BTC/USD pair has been trading in a narrow range established between the levels of $9,540 - $9,130 throughout the weekend. After the recent rally, the market is now consolidating the recent gains as the upward momentum is decreasing significantly. This behavior might indicate a counter-trend correction on the horizon and the termination of the five-wave impulsive pattern supports this view. In this case, the nearest technical supports for the bulls are seen at the levels of $9,130, $8,836 and $8,694.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $10,823
      WR2 - $10,138
      WR1 - $9,838

      Weekly Pivot - $9,130
      WS1 - $8,807
      WS2 - $8,069
      WS3 - $7,777


      Trading Recommendations:
      The market might have made the first impulsive wave up of a higher degree. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $7,582 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $10,278 is clearly broken.

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      Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 31 January 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      One of the largest car manufacturers, Mercedes Benz, has partnered with the Blockchain Circulor startup to jointly implement a pilot program to track carbon dioxide emissions in the cobalt supply chain.

      According to the published press release, the Mercedes and Circulor project is part of the Startup Autobahn initiative to identify new generation cars. The companies will implement Blockchain to track climate-relevant gas emissions and the number of recycled materials along the complex supply chains of battery cell manufacturers.

      Ultimately, Mercedes intends to use the data collected during this pilot to develop a new carbon-neutral car fleet.

      The project will initially focus on cobalt supplies, which have recently raised issues of origin and ethics. Cobalt is a key mineral for the production of lithium-ion batteries, with the majority of cobalt production coming from the Democratic Republic of Congo, a region criticized for the unethical conditions of cobalt mining. In 2017, the United Nations estimated that, worldwide, 168 million children are exploited and around 40,000 children are in the cobalt mines of DRC. This means that it is particularly important for companies to know where the materials for their products come from.

      The pilot program based on Blockchain technology maps the flow of production of these materials and the associated carbon dioxide emissions, and also records how much recycled materials are used in the supply chain.

      This will allegedly help Mercedes determine if its partner companies are complying with sustainability requirements, especially when it comes to human rights.


      Technical Market Overview:
      After the local correction to the level of $169.78, the ETH/USD bulls finally rallied higher towards the technical resistance at the level of $178.25 and broken through it. The new swing high has been made at the level of $185.37 and now the bulls are getting ready to test the breakout from below. It is worth to keep an eye on the current developments on the Ethereum market, nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $196.61 is clearly broken.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $187.66
      WR2 - $177.62
      WR1 - $172.55

      Weekly Pivot - $163.44
      WS1 - $158.80
      WS2 - $148.63
      WS3 - $143.46


      Trading Recommendations:
      There is a possibility that the wave 2 corrective cycles are completed at the level of $115.05, so the market might be ready for another impulsive wave up of a higher degree and uptrend continuation. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $146.94 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $196.61 is clearly broken.

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      Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for 31 January 2020

      Crypto Industry News:
      Bittrex has insured digital assets stored in its cold wallet to $ 300 million, which is the highest coverage offered by the cryptocurrency exchange to date.

      The company posted an announcement saying it has obtained digital asset insurance that will protect user resources in the event of "external theft and internal collusion."

      Bittrex CEO Bill Shihara said a security that has a $ 300 million limit offers "peace of mind" and showed clients that the stock exchange is "committed to prioritizing security in all our decisions and future Blockchain technologies."

      The insurance was guaranteed by Arch Syndicate 2012, which provides specialized insurance for corporations. The policy was approved after the stock exchange demonstrated its internal security and compliance protocols, and was supported by other syndicates from Lloyd's of London, one of the largest insurance markets in the world.

      The term "external theft" probably means theft by physically hacking into Bittrex cryptocurrency, because cold wallets are generally not vulnerable to hacking attacks. The protection may be similar to Blue Vault Arch, which provides limits up to $ 150 million and includes loss of digital assets due to internal and external theft (through direct access to storage media), and also includes collision of employees.


      Technical Market Overview:
      The BTC/USD pair has made yet another higher high overnight, this time it was located at the level of $9,510 and bulls are now consolidating the recent gains. The Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern at the H4 timeframe chart might indicate, that the short-term counter-trend corrective cycle is underway. The level of $9,130 will now act as short-term technical support, together with the level of $8,836. The strong and positive momentum supports the short-term bullish outlook and the next target for bulls is seen at the level of $9,539. There is only a couple of days to complete the month of January and the Bitcoin chart still looks very bullish.

      Weekly Pivot Points:
      WR3 - $9,339
      WR2 - $9,028
      WR1 - $8,796

      Weekly Pivot - $8,458
      WS1 - $8,222
      WS2 - $7,890
      WS3 - $7,647


      Trading Recommendations:
      There is a possibility that the wave 2 corrective cycles are completed at the level of $6,345, so the market might be ready for another impulsive wave up of a higher degree and uptrend continuation. This strategy is valid as long as the level of $7,582 is not violated. Nevertheless, the larger timeframe trend is still down and all the shorter timeframe moves are still being treated as a counter-trend correction inside of the uptrend until the level of $10,278 is clearly broken.

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      Though trading on financial markets involves high risk, it can still generate extra income in case you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


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