Cryptocurrency Analysis

[IFX_Selena]

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for 26 May 2020

Crypto Industry News:
New strict rules, in which many ways of using digital resources are punishable by a fine or imprisonment, may soon become law in Russia.

New bills specifying how Russia should regulate cryptocurrencies were sent to the parliament of the country, the State Duma, earlier this week. Although the official site for the planned regulations has not yet been updated, both documents were published in the OrderCom telegram channel and were confirmed as authentic by the sources of the Russian news channel RBK.

Legislative proposals were reportedly written by employees of the Digital Economy think tank and the Skolkovo business accelerator. They are looking for a new version of the Digital Resources Act that has been stuck in the Duma for over two years, as well as cryptocurrency-oriented additions to the national criminal code.

The first bill would regulate digital currencies in Russia, or more precisely, prohibit the issuance and operation of digital currencies. It would even be forbidden to disseminate information on such activities.

Individuals and companies will not be able to accept digital currencies as payments, unless they are inherited, transferred to the debtors of a bankrupt company or confiscated as a result of a court decision. People with cryptocurrency should declare it at the tax office, as well as provide information on how to buy.

A second draft would introduce a new article in the Criminal Code imposing sanctions for illegal operations using digital resources.

If the regulations are adopted, the issue of digital assets in Russia without permission to enter in the register, which is yet to be created in the central bank of this country, will result in a fine of up to two million rubles (almost $ 28,000). The same level of penalty is suggested for organizing operations with digital resources and cryptocurrencies without permission, while people would face fines of up to $ 2,800.

Buying a cryptocurrency for cash or a bank transfer from a Russian bank would be subject to a fine of up to one million Russian rubles ($ 14,000) or up to seven years in prison, depending on the scale of the contract. A similar penalty would apply to those who accept crypto for goods and services.

If such a business brings "particularly large" profits or particularly large damage to citizens and the state, the proposal would cause the person (s) involved to be imprisoned for up to seven years, or even forced labor.

Mention of the central bank register suggests that legislators are free to some officially sanctioned entities to issue and use digital assets, while most general operations would be banned.

According to the RBK report, Anatoly Aksakov, head of the Duma of the Financial Markets Commission, confirmed the authenticity of the documents, but stated that they had not been finalized.


Technical Market Outlook:
The BTC/USD pair has bounced from the level of $8,576 after breaking through the key trend line support located around the level of $8,800. The bounce is so far very shallow and the next the nearest resistance is located at the level of $8,919 and $9,013. On the other hand, the next technical support is seen at the level of $8,464 and $8,357.The momentum remains weak and negative, so the odds for another wave down are high.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $10,568
WR2 - $10,245
WR1 - $9,478

Weekly Pivot - $9,098
WS1 - $8,333
WS2 - $7,968
WS3 - 7,231


Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend remains down and as long as the level of $10,791 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred until the level of $10,791 is clearly violated. The key mid-term technical support is located at the level of $7,897.







Performed by Sebastian Seliga
Analytical expert
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